Collins Foods (CKF) – Margins over sales

July 11, 2025

Collins Foods operates KFC stores in Australia and Europe. The company was founded in 1969 and is based in Hamilton in Brisbane.

Collins Foods posted FY25 earnings well ahead of Ord Minnett estimates, driven by wider-than-forecast margins in its KFC operations in Australia and Europe. The KFC fast-food franchisee’s sales update for the first eight weeks of FY26 disappointed and full-year FY26 earnings guidance fell short of market expectations, however, although the company does expect improved margins from cost savings and higher labour productivity.

Generating wider second-half FY25 margin expansion in its Australian operations was an impressive result given the impact of Cyclone Alfred on Queensland, where circa 60% of the company’s KFC stores are located. We expect the Australian business can further grow margins in FY26 given apparent weakness in chicken and potato prices and better matching of staffing levels with customer demand to outweigh wages growth. In Europe, cost savings will be the key driver for its operations in Germany and The Netherlands.

Post the result, we have cut our FY26 EPS forecast by 4.6%, while our FY27 and FY28 estimates rise 9.0% and 7.5%, respectively. This leads us to raise our target price to $9.50 from $8.50, while we maintain our Accumulate recommendation. "

Insights that count

Discover the best opportunities to outperform the market. Our research team dig deep into the market, company and stock data to bring you insights others might overlook.

Macquarie Group (MQG) – Balancing act

Macquarie Group provides diversified financial services in Australia, New Zealand the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia.

Learn More

Newmont Corporation (NEM) – Shining star

Newmont Corp is the world’s largest gold miner, producing more than 5 million ounces a year from its operations and/or assets in the US, Australia, Canada, Mexico, Dominican Republic, Peru, Suriname, Argentina, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Ecuador, Fiji, and Ghana.

Learn More

Regal Partners (RPL) – Going with the flow

Regal Partners is a fund manager that invests across Australian and international markets.

Learn More

Want to keep up to
date on our latest news & insights

Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.